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	<title>Comments on: Lessons from Vegas: The Realities of Online Video</title>
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	<link>http://www.cabletechtalk.com/broadband/2010/01/22/lessons-from-vegas-the-realities-of-online-video/</link>
	<description>Technology &#38; Telecommunications Policy Discussion</description>
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		<title>By: CableTechTalk &#187; Blog Archive &#187; The Big Shift, Maybe Not So Big</title>
		<link>http://www.cabletechtalk.com/broadband/2010/01/22/lessons-from-vegas-the-realities-of-online-video/comment-page-1/#comment-3675</link>
		<dc:creator>CableTechTalk &#187; Blog Archive &#187; The Big Shift, Maybe Not So Big</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 05 Feb 2010 18:35:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.cabletechtalk.com/?p=742#comment-3675</guid>
		<description>[...] In a previous post I attempted to answer these questions, but it&#8217;s quite simple: a) No. b) No. [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] In a previous post I attempted to answer these questions, but it&#8217;s quite simple: a) No. b) No. [...]</p>
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		<title>By: Ben</title>
		<link>http://www.cabletechtalk.com/broadband/2010/01/22/lessons-from-vegas-the-realities-of-online-video/comment-page-1/#comment-3599</link>
		<dc:creator>Ben</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 23 Jan 2010 16:09:48 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Nice post, you make some good points, but fail to predict where you think we are headed. Perhaps we agree?

I predict that the great channel expansion will end soon (of course I&#039;m shocked it is still growing) and instead we&#039;ll see more free VOD offerings like Comcast and FiOS are doing. The lack of advertising dollars will continue to eat at the free OTA TV model until the only thing left is news, talks shows, reality TV and major sporting events (which apparently is just football and a few others). At the same time telcos and traditional cable providers will continue to enter into each other&#039;s entrenched markets until true competition is achieved. At this point competition between communications providers and content providers will drive the price down. I think this will take at least 10 years and while streaming content providers will play a role, they&#039;ll never be able to compete with the economics of broadcast (including cable etc here) TV. Which of course means that cable providers will take less of a cut than they do now.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Nice post, you make some good points, but fail to predict where you think we are headed. Perhaps we agree?</p>
<p>I predict that the great channel expansion will end soon (of course I&#8217;m shocked it is still growing) and instead we&#8217;ll see more free VOD offerings like Comcast and FiOS are doing. The lack of advertising dollars will continue to eat at the free OTA TV model until the only thing left is news, talks shows, reality TV and major sporting events (which apparently is just football and a few others). At the same time telcos and traditional cable providers will continue to enter into each other&#8217;s entrenched markets until true competition is achieved. At this point competition between communications providers and content providers will drive the price down. I think this will take at least 10 years and while streaming content providers will play a role, they&#8217;ll never be able to compete with the economics of broadcast (including cable etc here) TV. Which of course means that cable providers will take less of a cut than they do now.</p>
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